{"id":4231,"date":"2018-05-14T21:12:43","date_gmt":"2018-05-14T13:12:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/?p=4231"},"modified":"2018-10-14T22:42:03","modified_gmt":"2018-10-14T14:42:03","slug":"liu-probabilities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/2018\/05\/liu-probabilities\/","title":{"rendered":"Yang Liu: Epistemic Wild Card: what subjective probabilities could not be"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u897f\u6eaa\u903b\u8f91\u8bba\u575b\u7b2c85\u671f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
\nDate:<\/strong> 25th May 2018 (10:00-11:30)
\nVenue:<\/strong> Room 259, Main Teaching Building, Xixi Campus, Zhejiang University
\nSpeaker:<\/strong> Dr. Yang Liu (University of Cambridge)
\nTitle:<\/strong> Epistemic Wild Card: what subjective probabilities could not be<\/p>\n

Abstract:\u00a0<\/strong>There is a long-standing disagreement in the philosophy of probability and decision theory about whether an agent can hold a meaningful credence, or \u201csubjective probability,\u201d about an upcoming action, while she deliberates about what to do. Can she believe that it is, say, 70% probable that she will do A, while she chooses whether to do A? Such probabilities are usually referred to as \u201caction credences\u201d in the literature. In this talk I will provide a defense of the thesis that, while deliberating about what to do, one cannot rationally have credences for what she is about to do. I will argue that action credences cannot hold in classical subjectivist decision theory we owe to writers like Frank Ramsey and L. J. Savage.<\/p>\n

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\n<\/a> \"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u897f\u6eaa\u903b\u8f91\u8bba\u575b\u7b2c85\u671f Date: 25th May 2018 (10:00-11:30) Venue: Room 259, Main Teaching Building, Xixi Campus, Zhejiang University Speaker: Dr. Yang Liu (University of Cambridge) Title: Epistemic Wild Card: what subjective probabilities could not be Abstract:\u00a0There is a long-standing disagreement in the …<\/span> Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-invited-talks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4231"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4231\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4286,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4231\/revisions\/4286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zlaire.net\/events\/previous\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}